Fares to NYC likely to rise

By Sean O'Neill
October 3, 2012

The Transportation Department plans to limit flights at J.F.K. airport, according to sources who spoke anonymously to the The New York Times in a story published this morning.

Last January, Congress lifted limits on the number of takeoffs and landings allowed at Kennedy airport. Since then, airlines have scheduled too many flights there. Airlines are scheduling about 100 flights an hour at Kennedy, and during peak demand hours, even more than that. But last summer, the airport was only able to handle about 80 takeoffs an hour, given summer storms and related delays, according to the Wall Street Journal.

The math is obvious. There will be about 20 fewer flights on average out of Kennedy, if the Transportation Department and the Federal Aviation Administration impose limits as expected.

Fewer flights mean that airlines will be able to charge more per flight. Fares are likely to rise because the other area airports are unlikely to be able to pick up more flights on their own.

But nothing is decided yet. The airlines are likely to fight any flight limits in court or by enlisting allies in Congress to pressure the federal agencies.

Here's why: Let's say that 20 flights a day are cut. If those 20 fewer flights cut the service of smaller airlines, such as Spirit and AirTran, the airlines will likely say that the system is unfair (anti-competitive) and arbitrary, especially if it appears to only apply to a single major airport. JetBlue is likely to be hurt the most, given that it flies more planes out of Kennedy than Delta, American, American Eagle, and United Airlines combined.

If the 20 fewer flights cut the service of the major airlines, such as Delta and United, those airlines might go to court. The major airlines would argue that the government is wrongfully taking the existing assets that they have invested to improve terminals. While federal agencies have a lot of leeway to do what they want with commercial airspace, they also are sensitive to political pressure and the potential hassles of judicial hearings and congressional interference.

Kennedy serves more than 80 airlines and an average of 65,000 travelers a day. Along with Newark and La Guardia airports, New York has the world's most crowded airspace, and more than a third of the country's flight delays happen there—causing delays to ripple nationwide, as was clearly explained by a recent story in New York magazine.

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Is bad behavior ever acceptable?

In this story I wrote about flying over the holidays, two pieces of advice ticked some people off. The first was this: "Wait until the group before yours is almost done boarding, then enter the line. By the time you reach the front, your group will probably be called. And if not, what's the worst that can happen? They'll make you wait right near the gate." And the second was this: "I wish we lived in a world where you were guaranteed overhead space near your seat. Until we do, I refuse to store my bag behind me, because I'll never get off the plane. Look ahead while you board: If the space above your seat is full, put your stuff as close to it as possible, and don't be afraid to take someone else's space. After all, someone took yours." The text of one reader's letter follows the jump--along with my defense...and a request for your opinion. Here's the reader's letter (somewhat abridged). It's from Marge Stock of Murphys, Calif. "Dear Editor, Granted that airline travel is now an ordeal and seems to get worse, I feel that what all of us need to do is be more considerate of our fellow travelers, not less. Most U.S. airlines board from the rear. How do you think it feels to get to your seat more to the front and see the overhead bin filled with suitcases that perhaps are from people seated behind you? Why should I have to check my bag because of someone else's inconsiderateness? Second, the suggestion about standing up by the gate even if it isn't your turn to board--again, so inconsiderate. The airlines ask you to keep your seat until your row is called; it eases congestion at the boarding gate. What's the hurry? It all boils down to the size of our check-in luggage. The airlines are quite precise about it but don't enforce it. They should and then people will pack more reasonably and not take up so much room in the overhead bins. How many times have we seen people trying in vain to cram an oversized bag in the bin, sometimes having to remove items from it just to get it in? Once we start that crazy mentality of taking what's mine and then some, not following the guidelines, we start that cycle of animosity that creates a lot of stress in flying. We should be more considerate not less, be helpful with fellow travelers, be considerate of their space when we put our seat back, get our right-sized bag in the overhead bin quickly, have the things we need for the flight in the bag that goes under the seat, take our seats quickly so as to not impede the loading procedure, and then try to have the best flight we can given the confined space we are given. It's a start and a good one." I wholeheartedly agree with everything Ms. Stock says--to a point. (And to be clear, I only suggest putting your stuff in someone else's space if your space has been taken.) I guess I'm tired of being considerate only so that inconsiderate people can get their way. I wish airports had seating space for everybody. I wish airlines would enforce their carry-on limitations. But they don't, and they don't. The fact that the system is flawed, allowing selfish people to abuse it, justifies a little selfish behavior on other people's part.... When I wrote the story, I felt like it's time the rest of us fought back. But perhaps that's wrong. Where do you draw the line? If you're boarding a plane and you see up ahead that the overhead space above your seat is full, what do you do? For me, the choice is clear. (Sorry, but I'm too tall to put anything big under the seat in front of me.) I have a choice to put my bag behind my row or ahead of it--and either way, it's going in somebody else's space. Why not put it in the spot that benefits me?